02/20/11

* Libya protests: Col Gaddafi under mounting pressure Colonel Muammar Gaddafi’s regime is under huge pressure after a night of protests in the Libyan capital Tripoli.

* CoS Mullen in Turbulent Middle East, Stunned by Upheavals US Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Mike Mullen, on a pre-planned visit to the Middle East, says he is stunned by the pace of upheavals in region.

* US must be removed from Islamic world: Khamenei Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on Sunday called on Muslims to “remove” the US from the Islamic world.

* Italy and Czech Republic back Gaddafi despite bloodbath The EU is struggling to speak with one voice following a massive loss of life in Libya over the weekend and the regime’s vow to fight protesters to the “to the last bullet”.

* China’s security tsar warns over ‘jasmine revolution’ China’s official in charge of the state security apparatus has warned of the need to find new ways to defuse unrest.

* Suez Canal says Iran navy ships passage delayed Egypt postpones passage of Iranian vessels through Suez Canal en route to Syria by 48 hours. US says closely monitoring situation

* Why Arab Spring could be al Qaeda’s fall The burgeoning democracy movement across the Middle East appears to have caught al Qaeda off guard and threatens to reduce the terrorist group to irrelevance.

* Wash. Post: Intransigent Abbas Unwilling to Make Peace The Washington Post says the recent US veto in the UN might have one positive effect: The prompting of a reevaluation of “weak and intransigent” PA chief Mahmoud Abbas.

* Saudi Arabia chides US for vetoing UN resolution on Israeli settlements In rare show of criticism of its ally, Saudi Arabia expresses regret over US vote regarding resolution that described settlements as illegal.

02/19/11

* Palestinians plan ‘Day of Rage’ to protest U.S. veto on UN settlement resolution Palestinians are planning their own “Day of Rage” to protest the American veto on a United Nations resolution condemning Israeli settlements.

* Suez Canal Authority: No military approval yet for Iran warships Egypt’s Suez Canal Authority has not yet received military approval to allow two Iranian navy ships to pass north into the Mediterranean.

* As Army Pulls Back, Bahrain Protesters Retake Square Thousands of jubilant protesters surged back into the symbolic heart of Bahrain on Saturday.

* ‘Process of democracy in Egypt not dangerous for Israel’ Former head of Military Intelligence, Maj.-Gen. Amos Yadlin, said Saturday that “the process of democratization in Egypt is not necessarily dangerous for Israel.”

* Rice: UN resolution veto not endorsement of settlements US Ambassador Susan E. Rice said Saturday that the US vetoed a UN resolution which condemned settlements and called for a freeze on construction should not be “seen as an endorsement of Israel’s settlement policies”.

* Ashton to host global conference on north Africa European foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton is to hold a high-level international conference in Brussels next week.

* Abbas: Ties with U.S. won’t be severed over veto of UN settlement resolution Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas said Saturday that he does not expect to cut ties with the United States.

* Arab League sees grave situation and wants summit The Arab League said on Saturday it was important that a March summit goes ahead in Baghdad.

* Libya: Snipers shoot mourners, killing 15 Moammar Gadhafi’s forces fired on mourners leaving a funeral for protesters Saturday in the eastern city of Benghazi.

* Jordan’s king gets warning letter from leaders of his own Bedouin base King Abdullah was said to have been alarmed by unrest within his traditional Bedouin tribal base.

02/18/11

* Security Forces in Bahrain Open Fire on Mourners Government forces opened fire on hundreds of mourners marching toward Pearl Square Friday.

* Egypt approves passage of Iranian warships Egypt has approved the passage of two Iranian warships through the Suez Canal.

* Fatalities mount as Arab unrest continues Clashes broke out Friday in Jordan’s capital between government supporters and opponents at a protest calling for more freedom and lower food prices, injuring eight.

* Brotherhood: Decision on peace up to ‘entire people’ The Muslim Brotherhood said on Friday that any decision on Egpt’s peace treaty with Israel was up to the Egyptian people and it would not impose its view on them.

* PA Ignores Obama, Seeks UN Condemnation of Israel The Palestinian Authority is seeking international condemnation of Israel, despite the Obama administration’s attempts to discourage the move.

* EU calls for dialogue as Bahrain, Yemen, Libya kill protesters The European Union has called for restraint and dialogue after Bahrain’s absolutist monarchy launched a military crackdown on protesters.

* Syria to EU: tackle Israel, not Egypt for Middle East peace The EU should take firm action against Israeli settlement-building and human rights abuses instead of playing politics in Egypt if it wants to calm tension in the Middle East.

* Revered Islamic preacher rallies Egyptians in Tahrir, signaling larger role for Islam Yusuf al-Qaradawi, a leading Egyptian Islamic theologian popularized by Al Jazeera, returned to Cairo today to deliver a stirring but overtly political sermon.

* Arab World: The bad news from Egypt What does the Egyptian revolution mean for Israel? A great deal and, unfortunately, none of it is particularly good.

* Ahmadinejad: Obama can’t spell his own name Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad attacked Barack Obama on Friday, saying the American president “doesn’t even know how to spell his own name properly.”

New Middle East at a Glance-Country by Country: Part II

By: Hillel Fendel – Arutz Sheva

The Cabinet headed by prime minister Salam Fayyad submitted its resignation to PA chairman Mahmoud Abbas on Monday, and Fayyad was immediately re-appointed to head the new government. Abbas, whose Fatah organization runs the Judea/Samaria parts of the Palestinian Authority, has called for new elections “by September at the latest” – but Hamas, which controls Gaza, says it will not take part.

Only minor protests have been held, but the Abbas government has been under criticism for the lack of progress in the talks with Israel, for having reportedly made concessions to Israel, and in light of constant Hamas criticism.

Jews, by definition, do not live in the PA-controlled areas. This past December, Abbas said, “We have frankly said, and always will say: If there is an independent Palestinian state with Jerusalem as its capital, we won’t agree to the presence of one Israeli in it.” Months earlier, he even said that he would not agree to a single Jewish soldier in a NATO peacekeeping in the region, but later backtracked.

JORDAN

Though no acute danger faces King Abdullah’s regime, he is experiencing popular protests, and his wife, Queen Rania, has been accused of corruption. A letter signed by 36 leading Bedouin representatives says that Rania must return land and farms expropriated by her family. The letter endorses several demands expressed by the Islamist opposition, and warns that Jordan “will sooner or later face the flood of Tunisia and Egypt, due to the suppression of freedoms and looting of public funds.”

At the same time, Islamist voices are coming to the fore in Jordan; the country’s new Justice Minister has praised the murderer of seven Israeli girls and called for his release from prison. The lethal attack occurred on the Israeli-Jordanian border in 1997.

Abdullah has formed a new government in response to the protests, and U.S. Admiral Mike Mullen, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, visited Jordan over the weekend to discuss current events with the leadership.

Jewish history in what is now Jordan goes back to Biblical times, when Moses granted permission to two and a half tribes to live there after taking part in the war for the Land of Israel. Over the centuries, the Jewish population dwindled to nothing. In the 1930’s, leading residents of what was then Transjordan requested that Jews move in to help revive the economy – but the British, who ruled the area, did not want more Jewish-Arab problems, and passed legislation banning Jews from living there.

After the Kingdom of Jordan was created, it ratified this law in 1954, declaring that any person may become a citizen unless he is a Jew (or if a special council approves his request and he has fulfilled other conditions).  Jordan has no Jewish community at present.

LIBYA
Underground opposition groups reportedly tried to organize Day of Rage protests on Monday, and have now rescheduled them for this Thursday. Moammar Gadhafi, who has ruled the country since 1969, met last month with political activists and journalists, warned that they would be held responsible if they took part “in any way in disturbing the peace or creating chaos in Libya.”

In 1931, 21,000 Jews lived in Libya – 4% of the total population  – under generally good conditions. In the late 1930s, the Fascist Italian regime began passing anti-Semitic laws, and in 1942 – when 44 synagogues were operative in Tripoli – German troops occupied the Jewish quarter of Benghazi and deported more than 2,000 Jews to labor camps across the desert, where more than a fifth of them perished.

After World War II, anti-Jewish violence and murderous pogroms caused many Jews to leave the country, principally for Israel, and under Gaddafi’s rule, the situation deteriorated so badly that only 20 Jews remained by 1974. In 2003, the last Jew of Libya, 80-year-old Rina Debach, left the country.

MOROCCO
 A video has been distributed calling for a protest to be held on Feb. 20 to demand “equality, social justice, employment, housing, study grants and higher salaries,” as well as “change, political reforms, the resignation of the Government and the dissolution of Parliament.” Analysts do not expect the campaign to succeed. Some have said that the Moroccan government may face unrest in the west, thanks to Algerian instigators.

Before the founding of Israel in 1948, there were over 250,000 Jews in the country, but only 3,000 – 7,000 remain today, mostly in Casablanca.  In June 1948, 44 Jews were killed in anti-Semitic riots, and large-scale emigration to Israel began. Between 1961 and 1964, more than 80,000 Moroccan Jews emigrated to Israel; by 1967, only 60,000 Jews remained, and four years later, this number was 35,000. Today, the State of Israel is home to nearly 1,000,000 Jews of Moroccan descent, around 15% of the nation’s total population.

SYRIA
In an attempt to head off protests, the Assad government withdrew a plan to remove some subsidies. President Bashar Assad gave a rare interview to the Wall Street Journal in which he said he to hold local elections, pass a new media law, and give more power to private organizations. A planned “Day of Rage” that was organized via Facebook for February 5 failed to materialize.

Large Jewish communities existed in Aleppo, Damascus, and Qamishli for centuries. About 100 years ago, a large percentage of Syrian Jews emigrated to the U.S., Central and South America and Israel. Anti-Jewish feeling reached a climax in the late 1930s and early 1940s, and some 5,000 Jews left in the 1940’s for what became Israel. The Aleppo pogrom of December 1947, a pogrom in Aleppo – the third in 100 years – left many dead, hundreds wounded, and the community devastated. Another pogrom in Damascus in 1949 left 12 Jews dead. In 1992, the few thousand remaining Jews were permitted to leave Syria, as long as they did not head for Israel. The few remaining Jews in Syria live in Damascus.

YEMEN
Tuesday marks four straight days of clashes between pro- and anti-government protesters in Yemen’s capital, Sanaa. At least three people were injured on Tuesday as 3,000 activists attempted to march on the presidential palace. They are demanding  the resignation of President Ali Abdullah Saleh, who has been in power for 32 years. Protests have become increasingly violent. Besides poverty and unemployment, the Saleh government is grappling a secessionist movement in the south, rebellion in the north, and a regrouping of Al Qaeda on its soil.

Between June 1949 and September 1950, 49,000 Yemenite Jews – the overwhelming majority of the country’s Jewish population – was transported to Israel in Operation Magic Carpet. Only a few dozen mostly elderly Jews remain in Yemen.

Please note: These stories are located outside of Prophecy Today’s website. Prophecy Today is not responsible for their content and does not necessarily agree with the views expressed therein. These articles are provided for your information.

02/17/11

* In sharp reversal, U.S. agrees to rebuke Israel in Security Council The U.S. informed Arab governments Tuesday that it will support a U.N. Security Council statement reaffirming that the 15-nation body “does not accept the legitimacy of continued Israeli settlement activity.”

* Iran warships cancel request to cross Suez Canal A senior Suez Canal official says two Iranian warships have withdrawn their application to transit the waterway following expressions of concern by Israel over the plans.

* Abbas casts doubt on Palestinian elections Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas said on Thursday that an election promised by September would not be held if Hamas refused to allow voting in the Gaza Strip.

* Bahrain protests banned as military tightens grip Protests have been banned in Bahrain and the military has been ordered to tighten its grip.

* Libya protests: Activists call for ‘day of anger’ Anti-government activists in Libya have been using social networking sites to rally support for protests on what they are describing as a “day of anger”.

* The Land-Grab Competition in Judea/Samaria IDF Central Command officers – whose jurisdiction includes Judea and Samaria – say that in the coming months, Arabs will step up their efforts to take over lands in the region.

* Anarchy in Sinai Peninsula The recent revolution in Egypt has had its effect on the Sinai Peninsula as well.

* Bibi to Nasrallah: Stay in your bunker Israeli response to Hezbollah: Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu used his speech Wednesday evening at the Conference of Presidents in Jerusalem to send a personal message to Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah.

* Turkey to help negotiate new ‘road map’ for Iran nuclear program Turkey has agreed to cooperate with Iran on a new “road map” for its disputed nuclear program.

* Israel ‘may have to re-enter Lebanon’ Speaking during a tour of the northern border with the new military chief of staff Benny Gantz, the Israeli defence minister said: “Even though it’s quiet and deterrence exists – Hizbollah remembers the heavy beating they suffered from us in 2006.

02/16/11

* Protests in Libya, Bahrain and Yemen as unrest sweeps Arab world Inspired by revolts that have toppled Arab rulers in Tunisia and Egypt, protesters in Bahrain, Libya and Yemen have taken to the streets to demand the resignations of their own heads of state.

* Israel: Iranian Warships in Med are a ‘Serious Provocation’ Israel is “closely monitoring” Iranian plans to deploy warships in the Mediterranean Sea.

* Iranian Lawmakers Call for Opposition Leaders’ Execution In the wake of rising protests Iranian lawmakers have called for the execution of two opposition leaders for incitement.

* Syria considering construction of new nuclear plant Syria is considering building its first nuclear power plant by 2020 to meet rapidly growing electricity demand.

* Gaddafi to Arab ‘Refugees’: March on Israel Libyan dictator Muammer Gaddafi has called for a mass Arab march on Israel, in an attempt to force Israel into accepting Arab demands.

* EU’s Ashton Pressing for ‘Peace’ Talks European Union foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton said on Tuesday that the international community still sought to achieve a peace deal and a Palestinian Authority state by September.

* Education minister: Kids to tour Hebron Education Minister Gideon Sa’ar has announced a plan by which schoolchildren will tour Hebron and visit the holy site of the Cave of Patriarchs, located there.

* The Voice of Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood This man is a word machine, a one-man talk show that leaves no subject unexamined.

* ‘Iranian nuclear facility recovered quickly from Stuxnet’ In an underground chamber near the Iranian city of Natanz, a network of surveillance cameras offers the outside world a rare glimpse into Iran’s largest nuclear facility.

* New Middle East at a Glance-Country by Country: Part II Arab countries throughout the Middle East and North Africa are experiencing unrest.

* Nasrallah: Hezbollah will conquer the Galilee Hezbollah leader says he is prepared for war with Israel, will avenge Mugniyeh’s death; Nasrallah says Israel has lost its confidence due to Mideast turmoil.

‘Brothers’ in Egypt Present Two Faces

By: Charles Levinson – The Wall Street Journal

CAIRO—Moaz Abdel Karim, an affable 29-year-old who was among a handful of young activists who plotted the recent protests here, is the newest face of the Muslim Brotherhood. His political views on women’s rights, religious freedom and political pluralism mesh with Western democratic values. He is focused on the fight for democracy and human rights in Egypt.

A different face of the Brotherhood is that of Mohamed Badi, 66-year-old veterinarian from the Brotherhood’s conservative wing who has been the group’s Supreme Guide since last January. He recently pledged the Brotherhood would “continue to raise the banner of jihad” against the Jews, which he called the group’s “first and foremost enemies.” He has railed against American imperialism, and calls for the establishment of an Islamic state.

After Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak stepped down on Friday amid the region’s most dramatic grassroots uprising since the Iranian Revolution in 1979, the Brotherhood became poised to assume a growing role in the country’s political life. The question for many is: Which Brotherhood?

It was Mr. Karim and his younger, more tolerant cohorts who played a key role organizing the protests that began on Jan. 25 and ultimately unseated a 29-year president. But it’s the more conservative, anti-Western old guard that still make up by far the bulk of the group’s leadership.

Mr. Badi, the current leader, wrote an article in September on the group’s website in which he said of the U.S. that “a nation that does not champion moral and human values cannot lead humanity, and its wealth will not avail it once Allah has had His say.”

He wrote in that same article that “resistance is the only solution against the Zio-American arrogance and tyranny, and all we need is for the Arab and Muslim peoples to stand behind it and support it… We say to our brothers the mujahideen in Gaza: be patient, persist in [your jihad], and know that Allah is with you…”

On Monday, meanwhile, Mr. Karim stood shoulder to shoulder at a press conference with youth leaders from half a dozen mostly secular movements, to lay out their vision for how Egypt’s transition to democracy should proceed and to praise the Army for cooperating. Their top demand: a unity government that includes a broad swath of opposition forces.

he Brotherhood, whose leaders Mr. Karim butted heads with in recent weeks, put out a similar message on Saturday calling for free and fair elections. Seeking to allay fears that it would make a power grab, the Brotherhood also said it wouldn’t run a candidate in presidential elections or seek a majority in parliament.

Both Egyptians and outsiders, however, remain wary. They are unsure about how the group will ultimately harness any newfound political gains and whether its more-moderate wing will, in fact, have lasting clout.

“It’s never entirely clear with the Brothers,” says Josh Stacher, a political science professor at Kent State University who spent years in Egypt studying the organization. “It’s a big group, with lots of different points of view. You can find the guy always screaming about Israel and then you got the other guys who don’t care about Israel because they’re too busy worrying about raising literacy rates.”

Israel, which shares a long and porous border with Egypt, fears that if a moderate wing of the Brotherhood exists—and many in Israel’s leadership are skeptical that it does—it could be shoved aside by more extreme factions within the group.

The Brotherhood’s conservative wing has for years put out anti-Israel comments and writings, and helped fund Hamas, the Palestinian militant group. It has also spoken out in support of attacks against U.S. soldiers in Iraq and Afghanistan.

“If the Muslim Brotherhood comes to power, through elections or some other way, that would be a repeat of 1979 in Iran,” when moderate governments installed after the shah gave way to the ayatollahs, says a senior Israeli official. “It’s something we’re looking at with great caution.”

The U.S. appears to be taking a wait-and-see approach, with officials saying in recent days it should be given a chance. President Barack Obama, in an interview with Fox News, acknowledged the group’s anti-American strains, but said it didn’t enjoy majority support in Egypt and should be included in the political process. “It’s important for us not to say that our only two options are either the Muslim Brotherhood or a suppressed Egyptian people,” he said.

The outlawed Islamist opposition group is plagued by rifts between young and old, reformist and hard-liner. There are big city deal-making politicians, and conservative rural preachers who eschew politics in favor of proselytizing Islam.

Egypt’s government has long highlighted the group’s hard-line wing as a threat to the country. Yet its selective crackdowns have historically empowered the very hard-liners it has sought to undermine, analysts and Brotherhood members say.

The conservative leadership’s autocratic leadership style within the movement, its lack of tolerance for dissenting opinions and its preference to conduct business behind closed doors have all contributed to deep skepticism among outsiders about the Brotherhood leadership’s stated commitment to democracy.

In recent years, meanwhile, the group’s pragmatic wing has forged a historic alliance with secular opposition activists. Their role in the unseating of Mr. Mubarak appears to have given them a boost in a struggle for influence with the Brotherhood’s fiery old guard.

“The Muslim Brotherhood as a whole doesn’t deserve credit for this revolution, but certain factions within the movement absolutely do, generally those that have more modern views,” says Essam Sultan, a former member of the group who left in the 1990s to form the moderate Islamist Wasat, or Centrist, Party. “That wing should get a massive bounce out of this.”

Whether that bounce will be enough to propel the more-moderate Brothers to a permanent position of influence—or what their legislative agenda would actually be—is one of the key unknowns in Egypt’s political evolution.

In many ways, this faction resembles conservative right-of-center politicians elsewhere in the Arab world. They espouse a view of Islam as a part of Egyptian heritage and argue that democracy and pluralism are central Islamic values. They are pious and socially conservative, and reject the strict secularism that is a feature of most Western concepts of liberal democracy.

On Wednesday, when it was still unclear whether Mr. Mubarak would step down, Essam el-Eryan, one of the only reformists currently on the group’s 12-member ruling Guidance Council, said in a statement that the group didn’t seek the establishment of an Islamic state; believed in full equality for women and Christians; and wouldn’t attempt to abrogate the Camp David peace treaty with Israel—all tenets espoused by Brotherhood leaders over the decades. Mr. el-Eryan said those Brothers who had suggested otherwise in their writings and public comments in recent days and years had been misunderstood or weren’t speaking for the organization.

Founded in the Suez Canal town of Ismailiya in 1928 by a 22-year-old school teacher, the organization used violence to battle the British occupation in the 1940s.

The group allied with some young officers to overthrow the king in 1952 and bring Gamal Abdel Nasser to power, only to become implicated in an assassination attempt on Nasser two years later. He responded with a fierce crackdown, sending the group’s leadership to prison for years, and its membership ranks into exile.

The Muslim Brotherhood abandoned violence in the years that followed, formally renouncing it as a domestic strategy in 1972. But some of its offspring have taken a bloodier path. Some former members established the group responsible for the assassination of Egyptian President Anwar Al-Sadat in 1981, and others have allied with Al Qaeda.

In the late 1970s and early 1980s, an older generation of leftist and Islamist student activists battled each other violently on college campuses. Egypt’s opposition grew increasingly ineffective, partially as a result of those rifts.

“We saw three successive generations of Brotherhood leaders fail to bring change, and we learned from their mistakes,” says Mr. Karim, one of the leaders of the group’s youth wing.

Brotherhood and secular leaders say the seeds of the cooperation that drove this year’s protests were planted in the early 2000s when Israel’s crackdown on the second Palestinian uprising and the 2003 U.S. invasion of Iraq brought secularists and Islamists alike into the streets to protest a common cause.

Then, in 2005, the Brotherhood struck a key victory in the parliamentary elections, winning an all-time high of 88 seats. Though officially banned, the organization is tolerated and allowed to put up candidates as independents.

Many of the Brotherhood lawmakers were pragmatists compared to the hard-line members of the group who preferred to stay out of politics. They were more open to working with other groups to forge compromises, and won plaudits from secular opposition leaders by focusing their legislative efforts on fighting an extension of the country’s emergency law.

They also stood up for the independence of the judiciary and pushed for press freedoms, and didn’t work to ban books or impose Islamic dress on women—moves many critics had feared.

“In the past, Muslim Brothers in parliament sometimes made noise about racy books or the Ms. Egypt beauty pageant, and it made a lot of us uncomfortable,” says Osama Ghazali Harb, head of the National Democratic Front, a secular opposition party. “They didn’t do this in the last five years.”

The regime responded to the Brothers’ newfound parliamentary prowess with one of the most brutal crackdowns in the group’s history. Instead of coming down on the organization’s hard-line leaders, it focused on the movement’s moderates.

“The government wants them to be secretive, hard-line, because it makes them fulfill the role of the bogey man that they’re propped up to be,” says Kent State’s Mr. Stacher. “You don’t want soft and squishy huggable Islamists, and you don’t want sympathetic characters. You want scary people who go on CNN and rail against Israel.”

Eighteen Brotherhood legislative staffers drafting education and health-care reform bills were among hundreds arrested. So, too, were the leading pragmatists on the movement’s 12-man leadership bureau.

The power vacuum was quickly filled by conservatives, who in 2007 put out a platform paper walking back many of the group’s more-moderate views.

It stated, for example, that neither women nor Christians were qualified to run for president. Casting further doubts on the organization’s commitment to the separation of church and state, the paper called for a religious council to sign off on laws.

Rifts between conservatives and reformers in the group began to flare into the open. The group’s moderates argued that the paper was only a draft and never officially adopted.

In the 2008 elections to the Brotherhood’s Guidance Council, hard-liners nearly swept the field, according to people familiar with the group. Only one seat on the leadership council is held by a consistent reformist, say these people, as well as one of the two alternate members who would step in should someone be arrested or die.

During this same period, Mr. Karim, from the Brotherhood’s youth wing, says his relationships with activists in other groups were being cemented through online networks. “The new media allowed me to connect with the other” activists in Egypt, he says. “And I realized that there are things we agree on, like human-rights issues and political issues.”

Past partnerships between the Brotherhood and secular parties had been top-down short-lived agreements born of political necessity.

This latest alliance formed more organically, say several young activists who are working with the Brotherhood.

“We just got to know, trust and like each other, even—believe it or not—the Brothers,” says Basim Kamel, a 41-year-old leader in Mohamed ElBaradei’s secular movement.

As conservatives were gaining influence within the Muslim Brotherhood’s leadership ranks, Mr. Karim and his fellow youth cadres were growing impatient.

He says they began arguing with their superiors, saying the group was losing credibility in the street because they weren’t out protesting for democracy like the secular activists were.

In November 2008, the Brotherhood’s then-leader Mahdy Akef called for “establishing a coalition among all political powers and civil society” to challenge the “tyranny that Egypt is currently witnessing.”

Mr. Akef couldn’t be reached for comment, but those familiar with the group’s inner workings say the shift came as the leadership realized they risked losing their youth cadres, particularly after a series of high-profile defections by young Brotherhood activists.

When Mr. ElBaradei returned to Egypt in February 2010 to lead an alliance of opposition groups, many of them youth-driven, the Muslim Brotherhood backed him, formalizing a partnership that had already gelled among the rank and file.

The alliance was uneasy at times. When other opposition groups voted to boycott November’s parliamentary elections, for example, the Brotherhood broke ranks and ran.

After the uprising in Tunisia in January, Brotherhood youth, including Mr. Karim, met with the leaders of other youth movements and decided to plan a similar uprising in Egypt.

A group of about 12 youth leaders, including Mr. Karim, met secretly over the course of two weeks to figure out how to plot a demonstration that would outfox security forces.

The Brotherhood’s senior leadership refused to endorse their efforts at first. They ultimately agreed to allow members to participate as individuals—and to forgo holding up religious slogans that the Brotherhood might have used in the past, such as “Islam is the solution,” or waving Korans.

Please note: These stories are located outside of Prophecy Today’s website. Prophecy Today is not responsible for their content and does not necessarily agree with the views expressed therein. These articles are provided for your information.

Nato: Russian hard men not packing much punch

By: Andrew Rettman – EUobserver

Russia could fight one small war in the west but not one in the east or two at the same time, a secret Nato analysis of the Kremlin’s military capacity says.

“Nato … concluded that Russian armed forces were: able to respond to a small to mid-sized local and regional conflict in its western region; not able to respond to two small conflicts in different geographical areas simultaneously; not able to conduct large scale conventional operations,” the dispatch from the US mission to Nato explains.

It adds that Russia has “aging and obsolete equipment” and “a manpower shortage.”

On a warning note, it says: “[Russia is] still relying on the use of tactical nuclear weapons, even in local or regional conflicts.”

The November 2009 memo, published by Norwegian daily Aftenposten and WikiLeaks on Monday (14 February), was written shortly after mass-scale Russian war games in the Baltic region had spooked post-Soviet Nato members.

At the time, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland and Romania complained in an internal paper that Nato should have spoken out against the “disturbing” Russian war games. Italy said they should not “over-dramatise” things however, and Germany made a legal analysis saying the Russian exercises did not break any treaty. The US sat on the fence.

The leak comes in the run-up to Russian presidential elections next year and harms Prime Minister Vladimir Putin’s image of Russia as a resurgent superpower.

More gravely, it comes in the context of a renewed conflict with Islamists in Russia’s war-torn Chechnya province.

In strategic terms, it points to the vulnerability of Russia’s vast Asian lands to China. According to the Stockholm International Peace Institute, Russia in 2009 spent €45 billion on its military, while China spent €73 billion.

Meanwhile, the US spent €489 billion and at least another €80 billion on intelligence.

Two leading US scholars in 2006 published a report in Foreign Affairs magazine saying that Russia’s strategic nuclear arsenal is so old that the US could easily destroy it in a first strike.

Former Soviet republics, such as Lithuania are more worried about Russia’s tactical nuclear arsenal, however. Items such as “nuclear landmines” – devices the size of a large backpack – can be carried by paratroopers behind enemy lines and can devastate infrastructure or render whole valleys impassable.

Please note: These stories are located outside of Prophecy Today’s website. Prophecy Today is not responsible for their content and does not necessarily agree with the views expressed therein. These articles are provided for your information.

The New Middle East at a Glance

By: Hillel Fendel – Arutz Sheva

The New Middle East at a Glance – Part One

Arab countries throughout the Middle East and North Africa are experiencing unrest. Israel National News brings you a brief review on what’s happening with the Arabs – and the Jews – in the various states:

ALGERIA
Hundreds of protestors clashed with security forces in the capital city of Algiers over the past few days, demanding the ouster of President Abdelaziz Bouteflika. About 100 have been arrested. Bouteflika has agreed to lift the nearly 20-year-old state of emergency with which the country has been ruled.

Algeria’s Jewish population can be traced back about 2,600 years, to when the First Temple was destroyed.  After Algeria achieved independence from France in 1962, most of the country’s 130,000 Jews – who had long suffered from local anti-Semitism  – emigrated to France. By the 1990’s, most of the remaining Jews had emigrated. In 1994, the rebel Armed Islamic Group declared war on all non-Muslims in the country. The Algiers synagogue was abandoned that year and later became a mosque. Slightly more than 200 Jews remain today in Algeria, mostly in Algiers.

BAHRAIN
Thousands of people are marching in the streets today, demanding the regime’s ousting. At least two protestors have been killed and three police officers hurt. The small island kingdom (population 1.25 million) has been ruled by the Al Khalifa royal family for nearly two centuries, since 1820.

After World War II, riots were focused against the middle-class Jewish community. By 1948, most of Bahrain Jewry abandoned its properties and evacuated to Bombay, India and later to Israel and the United Kingdom. As of 2008, 37 Jews remained in the country; the issue of compensation was never settled. In 2008, King Hamad Bin Isa Al-Khalifa called on the Jews who emigrated to return.

EGYPT
Unrest continues despite the resignation of President Hosni Mubarak on Friday. Banks and the stock market remain closed, while the army attempts to take control until elections are able to be arranged.

In 1956, the Egyptian government issued a proclamation stating that “all Jews are Zionists and enemies of the state” and threatened them with expulsion. As a result, half of Egypt’s 50,000 Jews left, and 1,000 were imprisoned. After the 1967 war, nearly all Egyptian Jewish men aged 17-60 were either thrown out of the country or incarcerated and tortured. Fewer than 100 Jews remain in Egypt today.

IRAN
Tens of thousands of anti-Ahmadinejad demonstrators marched in downtown Tehran on Monday. The Parliament Speaker blamed the United States and Israel for the protests. Opposition activists continue to call for more demonstrations, in which security forces have fired tear gas; dozens of people have been arrested, and two opposition leaders have been placed under house arrest.

“The parliament condemns the Zionist, American, anti-revolutionary and anti-national action of the misled seditionists,” Speaker Ali Larijani  said during a parliament session.

Jews in Iran, formerly known as Persia, date back 4,000 years.  In 1948, the population numbered close to 150,000, and at the time of the 1979 Islamic Revolution, the number was 80,000. From then on, Jewish emigration increased dramatically. Estimates of today’s population range from 20,000 to 35,000. Iran’s Jewish community, the largest among Muslim countries, is officially recognized as a religious minority group and as such is allocated one seat in the Iranian Parliament. Tehran has 11 functioning synagogues.

IRAQ
Though Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki’s regime does not appear to be in imminent danger, thousands of people have rallied in recent days and weeks across the country, protesting poverty, high unemployment, and shortages of food, electricity and water. Al-Maliki has announced a 50% cut in his $350,000 salary and that he would not run for a third term in 2014.

Iraqi Jewry dates back at least 2,600 years, and numbered around 120,000 in 1948. Nearly all the Jews left because of persecution following Israel’s War of Independence, and today fewer than 100 Jews remain.

TUNISIA
The future of Tunisia is still in doubt, following the fleeing of longtime President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali as a result of the December unrest that sparked the protests across the Middle East. The EU’s top foreign policy official, Catherine Ashton, met yesterday with various leaders in an attempt to shape a policy for governing the country.

In 1941, Tunisia was home to roughly 100,000 Jews, and a year later became the only Arab country to come under direct Nazi occupation during World War II. The Nazis forced Jews to wear the yellow Star of David, confiscated property, and sent some 5,700 Jews to forced labor camps, where 150 died in the camps or the bombings.  In the 1950’s, anti-Semitism and other forms of persecution led to the departure of tens of thousands of Jews; each person was allowed to leave with approximately $5 of their own money. As of now, 700 Jews live in the city of Tunis and 1,000 on the island of Djerba.

Amidst the Arab demands for the restitution of Arab refugees from the 1948 war, it is largely forgotten that around that time, more than 870,000 Jews lived in the various Arab countries. In many cases, they were persecuted politically and physically, and their property was confiscated; some 600,000 Jews found refuge in the State of Israel. Their material claims for their lost assets have never been seriously considered.

Please note: These stories are located outside of Prophecy Today’s website. Prophecy Today is not responsible for their content and does not necessarily agree with the views expressed therein. These articles are provided for your information.

Obama’s Unblemished Mideast Record

By: Robert Maginnis – Human Events

President Barack Obama’s foray into Egypt’s internal affairs has contributed to the crisis by embracing the wrong policy, launching mixed messages, failing to coordinate across his staff, and displaying a remarkable naiveté about the Mideast.  That performance is just his latest Mideast debacle that drains American influence.

Obama’s Mideast record reads like a Shakespearean tragedy, ending in the death of the major characters.  Every Obama Mideast initiative has failed or is failing:  Israeli-Palestinian peace, Iran’s rush for atomic weapons, terrorist Hezbollah’s Lebanon takeover, Turkey’s joining Iran’s camp, Pakistan’s uncooperative role in the Afghanistan war, the unfettered spread of extremist Islamists to Yemen and the Horn of Africa, and so on.  Now Egypt , one of our best anti-terror allies, is Obama’s latest victim.

Consider the results of Obama’s interference.

President Hosni Mubarak, an elected official, is gone, and Egypt’s Supreme Council of the Armed Forces—the military dictators—is running the country.  The generals promised the anti-Mubarak protesters nothing, much less a pluralistic political system.

Human rights and opposition groups accuse Egypt’s military of torture, beatings, and arbitrary arrests and disappearances over the past weeks.  Time will tell whether those accusations are true and whether the military is Egypt’s savior, or whether the soft coup that Obama favored is an empty victory for Egyptian pro-democracy dreamers.

On Saturday the military council issued a communiqué that outlines the military’s intentions.  It will preserve the regime—it isn’t dismantling Mubarak’s ruling National Democratic Party—and it alone will set the state’s agenda, not the protesters.

Egyptians are expected to cooperate with police by clearing the streets, and the council stands by “all regional and international obligations and treaties.’’  That means the 1978 Israeli-Egyptian peace accord remains intact, which keeps U.S. military aid flowing to Egypt ’s military dictators and Israel breathes a momentary sigh of relief.

The communiqué does not declare martial law.  However, martial law remains an option, especially if the generals see Islamists threatening Egypt’s stability.

Egypt has a long history of Islamist militancy that could explode anew, especially after the prison breaks associated with the recent unrest.  Reportedly many jihadists escaped Egyptian prisons during the unrest, and there are reports other extremists are flowing into Egypt from the Gaza Strip.

The past three weeks might have turned out differently if Obama had not jumped into Egypt ’s domestic quarrel.  His interference has hurt our relationship with Egypt, the Arab world’s core country, and tainted our relationship with other regional allies.

The following illustrates some of Team Obama’s inept interference.

First, Obama called for an “immediate” transition to democracy in a country with a questionable democratic history, no truly representative political parties, and a constitution that requires an election within 60 days.  Obama’s call for “immediate” transition was at odds with reality and his call for an “orderly” and “genuine” transition.

A hurried-up election, which Obama says is “What I want,” would create chaos, and besides, a truly democratic election in overwhelmingly Islamic Egypt would result in something like the democratic takeover of the Gaza Strip by the terrorist group Hamas.  That is why the Egyptian military opposes “immediate” elections, and so should Obama.

Second, Team Obama sent mixed messages.  Soon after the protests began, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton described Mubarak’s government as “stable” and said Mubarak was “looking for ways to respond to the legitimate needs and interests of the Egyptian people.”

A few days later, Obama sent envoy Frank Wisner, a former U.S. ambassador to Egypt, to deliver a message to Mubarak.  Wisner’s message was “President Mubarak’s continued leadership is critical—it’s his opportunity to write his own legacy,” according to National Review Online.

And last week Team Obama’s message changed twice.  Mubarak promised he would not run for reelection and Obama responded that he favored a gradual change.  But on Wednesday, Obama changed his message again, calling for Mubarak’s “immediate” departure.

A Los Angeles Times article attributes Obama’s morphing message to a split within the administration’s staff.  Senior administration staff favored a long-term transition that avoids instability and reassures other governments, but Obama apparently listened to National Security Council members Ben Rhodes and Samantha Power, who, according to the Times, contended a go-slow approach would make Obama appear to side with Mubarak.

Third, Obama seemed to be blindsided by the crisis, which is evidence of either an intelligence failure and/or an out-of-touch staff.

Obama reportedly sent word to National Intelligence Director James Clapper that he was “disappointed with the intelligence failure to predict the outbreak of demonstrations that ousted Tunisia’s President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali.”  A government official, who spoke on condition of anonymity to the Associated Press, said there was also little warning before Egypt’s riots.

But Central Intelligence Agency official Stephanie O’Sullivan told Congress two weeks ago Obama was warned of instability in Egypt “at the end of last year.”  Sen. Saxby Chambliss ( R.- Ga. ) asked for a written record of the timetable of Obama’s intelligence briefings.

Further, CIA Director Leon Panetta testified last week that there was a “strong likelihood” Mubarak would step down on Thursday (Feb. 10).  But according to Fox News, when agency officials were asked about the basis for Panetta’s prediction, they were told the director’s statement was based on media broadcasts, not secret intelligence.

It may be that Mubarak delayed resigning because, as he said on Thursday, he would not be pushed out by foreign powers—read Obama.  Mubarak called Obama’s bluff, and then resigned the following day.

Finally, there is a remarkable naiveté within Obama’s administration about the Mideast.  Specifically, last week, Intelligence Director Clapper testified that Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood is a “largely secular” group and a peaceful organization, not one disguising an extremist agenda.

The Brotherhood’s slogan is “Islam is the solution,” and its strategic plan calls for Islamic dominance and the application of Sharia law.  And the Brotherhood’s current supreme guide, Mohammed Badie, in sermons delivered in Egypt last year, said, “Waging jihad is mandatory” for all Muslims, and he called for liberating the Muslim world by “all forms of resistance.”

Also, Obama demonstrated poor judgment by humiliating Mubarak, a prominent Mideast ally.  Obama called on Mubarak to “immediately” step down, and then threatened to reconsider America’s annual $1.4 billion in aid to Egypt.  But when Obama spoke with Saudi Arabia’s King Abdullah about Egypt, the king said he would replace any funds the U.S. withdrew from Egypt.  The king recognized that if Obama is willing to humiliate Mubarak by pushing him out of office and using aid to leverage that decision, he would do the same to others.

President Obama’s role in Egypt’s coup seriously damaged America’s Mideast influence, and his administration’s fumbling demonstrates why this crisis is yet another one of the President’s parade of Mideast debacles.

Please note: These stories are located outside of Prophecy Today’s website. Prophecy Today is not responsible for their content and does not necessarily agree with the views expressed therein. These articles are provided for your information.