Author Archives: jimmy
06/09/10
As the Sun Awakens, NASA Keeps a Wary Eye on Space Weather
June 4, 2010: Earth and space are about to come into contact in a way that’s new to human history. To make preparations, authorities in Washington DC are holding a meeting: The Space Weather Enterprise Forum at the National Press Club on June 8th.
Richard Fisher, head of NASA’s Heliophysics Division, explains what it’s all about:
“The sun is waking up from a deep slumber, and in the next few years we expect to see much higher levels of solar activity. At the same time, our technological society has developed an unprecedented sensitivity to solar storms. The intersection of these two issues is what we’re getting together to discuss.”
The National Academy of Sciences framed the problem two years ago in a landmark report entitled “Severe Space Weather Events—Societal and Economic Impacts.” It noted how people of the 21st-century rely on high-tech systems for the basics of daily life. Smart power grids, GPS navigation, air travel, financial services and emergency radio communications can all be knocked out by intense solar activity. A century-class solar storm, the Academy warned, could cause twenty times more economic damage than Hurricane Katrina.
Much of the damage can be mitigated if managers know a storm is coming. Putting satellites in ‘safe mode’ and disconnecting transformers can protect these assets from damaging electrical surges. Preventative action, however, requires accurate forecasting—a job that has been assigned to NOAA.
“Space weather forecasting is still in its infancy, but we’re making rapid progress,” says Thomas Bogdan, director of NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center in Boulder, Colorado.
Bogdan sees the collaboration between NASA and NOAA as key. “NASA’s fleet of heliophysics research spacecraft provides us with up-to-the-minute information about what’s happening on the sun. They are an important complement to our own GOES and POES satellites, which focus more on the near-Earth environment.”
Among dozens of NASA spacecraft, he notes three of special significance: STEREO, SDO and ACE.
STEREO (Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory) is a pair of spacecraft stationed on opposite sides of the sun with a combined view of 90% of the stellar surface. In the past, active sunspots could hide out on the sun’s farside, invisible from Earth, and then suddenly emerge over the limb spitting flares and CMEs. STEREO makes such surprise attacks impossible.
SDO (the Solar Dynamics Observatory) is the newest addition to NASA’s fleet. Just launched in February, it is able to photograph solar active regions with unprecedented spectral, temporal and spatial resolution. Researchers can now study eruptions in exquisite detail, raising hopes that they will learn how flares work and how to predict them. SDO also monitors the sun’s extreme UV output, which controls the response of Earth’s atmosphere to solar variability.
Bogdan’s favorite NASA satellite, however, is an old one: the Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) launched in 1997. “Where would we be without it?” he wonders. ACE is a solar wind monitor. It sits upstream between the sun and Earth, detecting solar wind gusts, billion-ton CMEs, and radiation storms as much as 30 minutes before they hit our planet.
“ACE is our best early warning system,” says Bogdan. “It allows us to notify utility and satellite operators when a storm is about to hit.”
NASA spacecraft were not originally intended for operational forecasting—”but it turns out that our data have practical economic and civil uses,” notes Fisher. “This is a good example of space science supporting modern society.”
2010 marks the 4th year in a row that policymakers, researchers, legislators and reporters have gathered in Washington DC to share ideas about space weather. This year, forum organizers plan to sharpen the focus on critical infrastructure protection. The ultimate goal is to improve the nation’s ability to prepare, mitigate, and respond to potentially devastating space weather events.
“I believe we’re on the threshold of a new era in which space weather can be as influential in our daily lives as ordinary terrestrial weather.” Fisher concludes. “We take this very seriously indeed.”
Rabbis: Flotilla Clash Similar to Gog and Magog Prophecy
The Rabbinical Council of Judea and Samaria issued a statement Thursday in which it said that the results of the incident in which Israel intercepted a flotilla trying to break the naval blockade of Gaza seem like the Biblical description of “the beginning of the Gog and Magog process where the world is against us, but which ends with the third and final redemption.”
The statement explained that while secular Zionism always wants Israel to be beloved by other nations, “the legitimacy of our people is not derived from the nations of the world and their poisonous traditions, rather from the Torah of Israel which teaches us that [Israel] ‘is a people that shall dwell alone, and shall not be reckoned among the nations'” (Numbers 23:9). They emphasized that there is no reason to be alarmed by the world’s condemnation as it is a predicted result of fear of Israel’s success.
The Council blessed the soldiers of the IDF and called for the formation of an emergency unity government that will lead the nation from a position of strength.
The Council was formed by Rabbi Zalman Melamed of Beit El and includes leading religious Zionist rabbis who are the spiritual leaders of communities in Judea and Samaria.
‘Gog and Magog’ is a reference is to chapters 38 and 39 in the book of Ezekiel, a part of which is read on the intermediate Sabbath of Sukkot (Tabernacles). These chapters describe a vision of a war where the world is united against Israel that will precede the final redemption of Israel and the world. The prophecy’s symbolism involves a prince called Gog of Magog, leader of Rosh, Meshech and Tubal, who leads a coalition that includes Persia (Iran), Cush, Phut, Gomer, and Beit Togarmah against Israel. There are various opinions regarding the modern identity of these nations.
As a sampling of passages from Ezekiel 39 shows, the prophesy predicts that the coalition will be defeated by Israel, at a time following Israel’s gathering from its exile:
And thou, son of man, prophesy against Gog, and say: Thus saith the Lord G-d: Behold, I am against thee, O Gog, chief prince of Meshech and Tubal; and I will turn thee about and lead thee on, and will cause thee to come up from the uttermost parts of the north; and I will bring thee upon the mountains of Israel; and I will smite thy bow out of thy left hand, and will cause thine arrows to fall out of thy right hand. Thou shalt fall upon the mountains of Israel, thou, and all thy bands, and the peoples that are with thee; I will give thee unto the ravenous birds of every sort and to the beasts of the field, to be devoured.
(…)
Therefore thus saith the Lord G-d: Now will I bring back the captivity of Jacob, and have compassion upon the whole house of Israel; and I will be jealous for My holy name. And they shall bear their shame, and all their breach of faith which they have committed against Me, when they shall dwell safely in their land, and none shall make them afraid; when I have brought them back from the peoples, and gathered them out of their enemies’ lands, and am sanctified in them in the sight of many nations.
And they shall know that I am the Lord their G-d, in that I caused them to go into captivity among the nations, and have gathered them unto their own land; and I will leave none of them any more there; neither will I hide My face any more from them; for I have poured out My spirit upon the house of Israel, saith the Lord G-d.’The dramatic flotilla incident and the international reactions to it have sparked intense emotion, and unusual unity, among the Jewish public in Israel.
06/08/10
06/07/10
* Erdogan: Israel must pay the price Turkish PM meets Assad, demands UN investigation of flotilla raid.
* IDF foils attack close to Gaza Five terrorists killed by Navy commando; “large scale attack averted.”
* As the Sun Awakens, NASA Keeps a Wary Eye on Space Weather Earth and space are about to come into contact in a way that’s new to human history.
* Bilderberg 2010: Final List of Participants Sitges, Spain 3-6 June 2010
* Ahmadinejad Cozies Up to Turkey Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is scheduled to attend a three-day regional summit in Istanbul, to be chaired by Turkish President Abdullah Gul.
* Vatican: ME Christians threatened Pope concerned that persecution and conflict driving out Christians.
* Russia says euro must be stabilized Russia’s president says Europe needs to stabilize the euro or face the possibility of a financial crisis worse than the 2008 recession.
* EU states competing over Israel policy France and the UK have proposed that the EU should monitor cargo entering the Gaza strip from Israel, with Spain, Portugal and Ireland also coming forward with fresh initiatives in the wake of the flotilla attack.
* Biden meets Mubarak to discuss Gaza Leaders discuss nuclear Iran and Palestinian issue in Sharm e-Sheikh.
* Video: Free Gaza – from Hamas A “Free Gaza from Hamas” video intersperses its terror with evidence of plenty of food and merchandise as the government reported on Monday that Hamas still is blocking humanitarian aid from reaching Gaza residents.
06/05/10
05/04/10
Obama’s New World Order
By: -Col. Bob Maginnis
President Obama released his blueprint last week for pursuing a new world order that offers no compelling vision to guide the ship of state. Rather it dangerously shifts our military’s focus from counterterrorism to nation building and subordinates aspects of our foreign policy to international organizations like the United Nations.
The 2010 National Security Strategy outlines Obama’s strategic approach and priorities for advancing American interests. Obama’s report, which is supposed to be submitted to Congress 150 days after the beginning of the administration, provides a bleak assessment of our current state, abandons key parts of President Bush’s security strategy and identifies Obama’s vision for a new world order with no new approaches.
Obama’s assessment of the current strategic environment is bleak. “We live in a time of sweeping change where events far beyond our shores impact the safety, security, and prosperity of Americans,” Obama writes.
His strategy calls for strengthening “our military’s capacity to partner with foreign counterparts, train and assist security forces, pursue military-to-military ties with more governments.” This means he will refocus military priorities away from more traditional war-fighting to nation building. Preparing other nations to defend themselves has merit but that mission shouldn’t sap scarce resources from more important missions.
Obama’s nation building plan is a whole of government effort. He intends to assemble a civilian expeditionary capacity to join the military in nation building as we have seen in Afghanistan and Iraq. Perhaps instead of sending that force to places like Sudan they ought to go to Louisiana to help clean-up the oil or to Arizona to guard our border.
He also states the risk of nuclear attack has increased since the Cold War and nuclear dangers continue to proliferate. We no longer fight wars over ideology, Obama explains, but “over religious, ethnic and tribal identity.” Inequality and economic instability have intensified and “the international architecture of the 20th Century is buckling under the weight of the new threats.”
President Obama’s strategy discards significant parts of his predecessor’s blueprint. He repudiates the Bush Doctrine of pre-emption by rejecting “the false choice” of “an endless campaign to impose our values.” This was a backhanded comment regarding Bush’s decision to invade Iraq.
He drops the concept of the global war on terrorism, arguing we are not waging a “global war against a tactic—terrorism—or a religion—Islam,” but a “war with al Qaeda.”
He also drops the use of the term “radical Islam” or “jihad” because as his spokesman explained, we don’t want “to validate the perception that Islam somehow justifies their violent actions.”
Obama restates his intent to close the prison for enemy combatants at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba. His spokesman argues the prison serves “as a recruitment and propaganda tool for terrorists” and endangers “our troops when they are captured” which has never been proven. An administration spokesman argues that moving enemy combatants to an Illinois prison—the proposed replacement site for Guantanamo—will cut our costs in half. However, he fails to mention the legal and terror threat implications associated with that move.
The President reaffirms his prohibition for “torture,” which allegedly some American interrogators used on al Qaeda suspects, including waterboarding the 9/11 mastermind Khalid Sheikh Mohammed. Obama claims such methods of interrogation “are not effective means of obtaining information” and they serve as a recruitment and propaganda tool for terrorists. He offers no proof for either claim.
Obama introduces his strategy with dreamy rhetoric that calls for Americans to “see the horizon beyond” our current situation to a world in which “America is stronger.” He calls for “a strategy of national renewal and global leadership” that rebuilds the foundation of “American strength and influence.” But his strategy is mostly generalities and devoid of substance.
Obama’s strategy puts America at the center of the world from which he intends to manipulate our international engagements to address global challenges. He promises to be “steadfast in strengthening old alliances” and expand cooperation with 21st Century centers of influence, such as Russia, China and India. His plan calls for building “deeper partnerships in every region,” and strengthening international institutions like the United Nations and the G-20, the top 20 economic nations, to be more capable of responding to challenges.
The blueprint outlines elements that advance America’s interests. On security he seeks to end the war in Iraq, defeat al Qaeda and its affiliates, and stop the spread of nuclear and biological weapons. He seeks a comprehensive Israeli-Palestinian peace based on a two-state solution and a broader engagement with Muslim communities to “spur progress on critical political and security matters.”
He wants to advance our prosperity by reducing dependence on foreign oil and cutting our budget deficit. He promises to spend taxpayer money wisely and get our allies to share more of the security burden.
Advancing a just and sustainable international order is an Obama priority. That includes expanding cooperation with nations like Russia, with which we have “reset” relations and pursuing international effort to combat climate change, beginning with the Copenhagen Accord.
But Obama provides little detail on how he intends to realize his global vision. His intentions for our military and engagement with international organizations are revealing and troubling.
“Our armed forces will always be a cornerstone of our security,” Obama writes. Then he outlines plans to “rebalance” our military’s capabilities. He wants our forces to excel at counterterrorism, counterinsurgency and stability operations. Those missions fit the current wars—Iraq and Afghanistan—but not the possible high-intensity conflicts against a near peer competitor like China. Obama promises “We will monitor China’s military modernization program and prepare accordingly to ensure that U.S. interests … are not negatively affected.”
Obama’s plan is to fight the last war over again—terrorism and insurgencies—an option the American people should reject. We need a “rebalanced” armed force that can field a credible full spectrum capability to respond to future challenges from counterterrorism to high-intensity conflicts, and helping others should be part of that strategy.
Obama’s blueprint also calls for significant engagement with international institutions. He naively hopes to galvanize collective international institutional action to resolve the most pressing challenges of our times.
He argues past administrations have engaged organizations like the United Nations “on an ad hoc basis.” He intends to strengthen institutions like the United Nations to “face their imperfections head on and to mobilize transnational cooperation.” Obama is right about the UN’s “imperfections” but it is not the place to mobilize cooperation, at least for America. The UN has proven to be a corrupt anti-Western arena for the world’s malcontents to waste our money on radical and inefficient programs.
“We need a UN capable of fulfilling its founding purpose—maintaining international peace and security,” Obama writes in his strategy. He says “we are enhancing our coordination with the UN … [and] paying our bills,” a dig at former administrations which fell behind on UN contributions. He also promises to help reform the organization’s “overall performance, credibility and legitimacy.” Rather than “enhancing our coordination with the UN,” we ought to distance ourselves from the world body and strengthen alliances elsewhere.
President Obama’s strategic blueprint is devoid of new approaches to solving our nation’s international issues and showing a clear military strategy that ensures our sovereignty. It’s full of rhetoric and little substance with which to guide the ship of state.