The leaders of Iran, the ayatollahs, keep threatening that Israel, the Little Satan, and its master, the Great Satan – America – will be vanquished before long (three to five years?) by a triumphalist, nuclear-armed Islam determined to establish Allah’s rule even at the cost of martyrdom. Yet the world does not seem too exercised. In fact Russia and China lend Iran a helping hand.
How serious is this threat, and, if it is serious, how to face it? At least part of the answer to these questions may involve factors, religious, nationalist and economic, that are not commonly discussed. Living in a secular culture, most of us underestimate the determination of true believers. We forget that only recently a relatively civilized Europe was engaged for centuries in the most bloody religious – and then ideological – wars. So we do not fully appreciate how martyrdom-seeking fanatics may take extraordinary risks and ignore the restraints that a balance of terror imposed on atomic confrontations in the past.
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